|Bulls and Bears|
Self Fulfilling ProphecySo what are support and resistance? Support and resistance are special price levels. These levels are not so much a precise price point, but more a price zone or area where price reacts in a certain (predictable) way. There can be several reasons why price reacts around these levels, but the most common reason is because everyone is expecting price to react. So it is mostly a self fulfilling prophecy.
Reactions to support and resistance levelsThe following price reactions can be seen at support and resistance levels:
Price movement direction can sharply reverse when price is at a Support and Resistance area.
- Strong breaks
If price crosses a Support level or a Resistance level it will usually only do so if there is a lot of momentum behind the move. This means price will move quickly and within a short period of time while crossing the level. This can be driven by news or by big parties entering one side of the market.
Price can stall and hang at or below a resistance level or on top of a support level.
How do support and resistance levels develop?To understand what processes are behind these levels of support and resistance it is necessary to go back to the fundamentals of the market. A market is nothing more than a (virtual) place where buyers buy stuff and sellers sell stuff at a price that is accepted by both parties. That seems obvious enough, but let's look how this work exactly and how prices come about, because this will explain why Support and Resistance levels exist. Buyers and sellers will set prices where they are willing to buy or sell a certain amount of the asset. So if a lot of buyers are willing to buy at around the same price level, then this will show up as a level where prices stopped falling on the historical price charts. Most buyers will look at the historical prices to set their current desired buy-price levels even if they base their decision to buy on fundamental information for example. And by doing so they are actually creating a support level at the same area (again and again). Looking back at price charts you can often see price resting at the same support level over and over again. It also happens the other way around where many sellers are willing to sell at around the same price. A resistance level will form there as price stops moving up at that level time and time again.
So there is something in the market that triggers the creation of a S&R level and than over time as more traders look at the historical prices to base their trading levels on, the S&R levels are being reinforced as they are respected by the market, buyers and sellers, over time.
Where are S&R levels found?Support and Resistance levels are found at:
- Round numbers
Round numbers are one of the obvious areas where we see price reactions. Round numbers are a psychologically significant level. For example: a EURUSD price break below 1.00 is in the mind of many people more important then the break below 1.01. There is no real reason why it is more important, but it is perceived as such because 1.00 is a more rounded number with more zeros at the end. And in this case it is also a break below parity of the Euro and the USD. So as a rule of thumb, when a price is more rounded it becomes more of a S&R level.
As said, traders, buyers and sellers, look at historical price charts to see at what price a price move reversed. These are horizontal price levels.
|Reversals create horizontal S&R Levels|
- Trend lines
Prices move up and down, but hardly ever in a straight line. We can often see prices move up and then retracing a bit and then moving more up again. If we draw a trend line connecting all the lower swings, then we can see this trend line acting as a diagonal support line. If we duplicate the trend line and move the line on the chart we can find more points where the line seems to act as both support and as resistance. Drawing trend lines is subjective, so the support and resistance will be less accurate then the horizontal S&R levels. Still it can give you an indication of what other traders are looking at and tell you what they might do when price gets there.
|Trend lines create diagonal S&R areas|
- Moving averages
There are a couple of moving averages that most traders look at before placing a trade. And just because everyone is looking at them they begin to act as dynamic support and resistance. These moving averages are:
- 20 ema
- 50 ema
- 200 sma
I will get into more detail about moving averages in a later article. In below screenshot you see the 50 ema acting as dynamic support and resistance several times.
|Moving averages provide dynamic S&R|
How to draw support and resistance levelsS&R Levels are best drawn a few or at least one time frame higher then the time frame you are trading on. So if you are trading of of prices on the 4 hour time frame, then I suggest you draw your S&R levels of of the daily time frame. Once you have the levels drawn in, you can drill down to your lower preferred time frame and fine tune the levels.
If you find it difficult to see the levels on the charts, then it will help if you switch to a line chart. Just try it and you will see.
How to trade support and resistanceAll that the S&R levels do is give you a framework from within which you can find trades. It is a look at the markets. It is certainly not the look at the market. Some traders trade only with S&R levels and are profitable doing so.
|Trading the retouch|
Another way to trade S&R levels is to just enter in the opposite direction of the price move near or at a support or resistance as if you are expecting a reversal and get out of the trade if price moves beyond the level. Again, if this will be a profitable way of trading depends on many other things like your money management en position sizing. This is something I will talk about in a later post.
All and all these are valid ways of finding entries and exits.
Support and resistance levels are part of my way of trading. They are not the only thing I look at. If you want to get an overview of how I trade, then you can check out my previous post:In my next article I will discuss another tool in my trading toolbox:
If you want to stay up to date with my writings, please follow me on Google plus or any other social media platform I am on.